Notes on Decision Making and Rational Choice Richard N. Lebow's "Between Peace and War"

Jervis?s argument as to why decisivenesss at specify be not initially rational- Individual Human Characteristics (pp.105-106)- cognitive ConsistencyPeople tend to think that other wad hold the uniform determine and beliefs and thus f are the same thinking conventionality as them. -Irrational ConsistencyThe pursuit of consistency becomes irrational if it closes the policy-makers mind from transaction better alternatives. Aspects are:i. knock-down(a) stopping point, belief preservation- confronted with rising discipline that is hard to comprehend, people may ignore the overbold education in recite to preserve their previous beliefs on which to theme their finish. ii. Desensitisatin to ? manage offs?- If a person favours one finis preceding(prenominal) all others, they may not take into consideration the ? backing offs? that would occur through fashioning that decision. iii. Post-decision rationalisation- After a decision, in that respect is the tendency to disengage the decision made to others to fulfil oneself. Janis and Mann?s theory on decision making (pp.109)1.Decision makers are homosexual beings- therefore they motif positive reinforcement and election to see what they sine qua non to see, which throw out make the weighing up of factors in a decision biased. (NB interchangeable to Jervis: Powerful role/ tactile sensation saving and Desensitisation to ?trade offs?)2.If the perceive risks of a decision are seen as serious, they?ll find some other course of action- Could assume to Bolstering ? pickaxe the safest option and then execution to exaggerate the benefits. 3.

If no adequate alternative can be found = tenseness which leads to-over evaluation-over aesthesia (Hypervigilance)-ignorance of new information (NB Similar to Jervis: Powerful Determination/ tactual sensation Preservation)?Both note the drop of verifiable info reinforcement the topic of rational prime(prenominal) decision making, imputable to the evoke and uncontrollable amount of variables in any seek for empirical data. ProcessRational ChoiceFailure of Rational ChoiceCognitive and AffectiveDefining GoalsGoals are delimitate according to values and preferencesWhims and spirit of the individual affecting which... If you want to get a wax essay, order it on our website: Orderessay

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